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Why New Private Home Prices Might Rise – And What It Means for You

If you’ve been keeping an eye on Singapore’s property market, you’ve probably noticed that buying a new private home isn’t getting any easier. With developers facing challenges in collective sales (en bloc) and rising costs, analysts predict that private home prices could climb even further in the coming years. Here’s what you need to know.

The En Bloc Dilemma
Collective sales, where homeowners come together to sell their entire development to a developer, have become increasingly tricky. Take The Tanamera condominium, for example. Despite three attempts, residents haven’t been able to reach an agreement. Some love the convenience of living near Tanah Merah MRT Station, hawker centres, and wet markets, while others are ready to move on.

The biggest hurdle? Getting everyone on the same page. As Pooba Mahalingam, chairman of The Tanamera’s collective sales committee, shared, some owners are hesitant to sign until others do, creating a standstill. And with private home prices rising by 3.9% in 2024, many owners are holding out for higher offers to cover the cost of buying a replacement property.

Developers Are Hesitant Too
For developers, en bloc sales come with their own set of risks. While there’s a growing appetite to build new homes due to limited supply and favourable loan rates, the high costs of acquiring land, redeveloping it, and selling new units make developers think twice.

Nicholas Mak, chief research officer at Mogul.sg, points out that 80% of private housing units sold last year came from the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme, where the state releases land for private development. With cooling measures like higher stamp duties for second properties and foreign buyers, developers are wary of relying on en bloc sales.

What Does This Mean for Buyers?
If developers continue to focus on GLS sites, competition for land could drive up prices even further. As Mr. Mak explains, when developers bid higher for land, those costs are eventually passed on to buyers in the form of higher home prices. Analysts predict private home prices could rise by 4% to 7% this year, fueled by strong demand and anticipated interest rate cuts.

But there’s a silver lining. Over 20 new projects are expected to launch in 2025, including executive condominiums (ECs) in The Orie at Toa Payoh, Yishun, and ELTA at Clementi. These could provide more options for buyers, though prices may still be steep.

The Resale Market: A Viable Alternative?
For some, the rising costs of new private homes might make the HDB resale market a more attractive option. As Professor Sing Tien Foo from the National University of Singapore notes, middle-income families who don’t qualify for Build-to-Order (BTO) flats or ECs may turn to resale properties for more affordable alternatives.

The Bottom Line
The property market is always evolving, and right now, it’s leaning toward higher prices for new private homes. Whether you’re looking to buy, sell, or invest, staying informed is key. If you’re considering a new home, now might be the time to explore your options before prices climb further.

Ready to find your dream home? Reach out to me today, and let’s navigate this dynamic market together!

CNA

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